Eric Feigl-Ding氏の投稿 C12変異株と、デルタ株の派生変異株「フェスティバル変異株」が出現することへの懸念

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Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

Epidemiologist & health economist. Whistleblower. Faculty @NECSI. Fmr 16 years @Harvard. Early warnings: nym.ag/3olszuo

https://t.co/I13n5whE7e

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

📍Breaking—Fears growing that a new #DeltaVariant subvariant has emerged after 5000 young people infected from attending a 53,000 music festival in Cornwall—linked genetically to a Delta subtype. The region now has the highest #COVID19 rate in England. 🧵 inews.co.uk/news/health/bo… pic.twitter.com/dKeEfENXO2

2021-08-30 07:27:36
拡大

コーンウォールで開催された53,000の音楽祭に参加したことで、5000人の若者が感染した後、新しい#DeltaVariantの派生変異株(遺伝的にDeltaの派生型につながる)が出現することへの懸念が高まっています。この地域は現在、イギリスで最も高い#COVID19率になっています。

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

2) “It was traced because they can identify where it came from by genetic changes in the code.” While it is being referred to among hospital staff in Devon and Cornwall as the “festival variant”, it is believed to be a new strain of Delta rather than an entirely new variant.”

2021-08-30 07:27:36

2) デボンとコーンウォールの病院スタッフの間では「フェスティバル変異株」と呼ばれていますが、まったく新しい変異株ではなく、デルタの新しい株であると考えられています。

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

3) ““It’s still the Delta variant but they can say it came from the festival, hence why it is being called the ‘festival variant’,” added the official. The South-west peninsula now home to eight of the top ten areas in England with the highest rates of infection.

2021-08-30 07:27:37

3) 現在、南西半島には、感染率が最も高いイングランドの上位10地域のうち8地域があります。

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

4) “The figures also show that around half of all infections in England are among those under 30, with the highest rate of infection now in the 10 to 19-year-old age bracket.” ⚠️

2021-08-30 07:27:37
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

5) “Cornwall Council has already linked almost 5,000 Covid infections to Boardmasters, with local health officials saying they “won’t know the complete picture for another few days.”

2021-08-30 07:28:58
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

6) a senior scientific advisor has warned that such mass gatherings offer the virus a far greater opportunity to spread than any other outdoor event type. Professor John Drury called on the Government to mandate festival organisers to implement stronger measures to mitigate.

2021-08-30 07:32:26
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

7) Speaking in a personal capacity, Professor Drury said: “Different mass events have been found to be associated with very different rates of infection, and one factor explaining this is the crowd culture.”

2021-08-30 07:32:26
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

8) And we can expect greater physical intimacy– touching, close interaction, hugging, sharing drinks etc – at a music festival than at other large events.

2021-08-30 07:32:26
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

9) “One of the key reasons that some people are engaging less with these basic protective behaviours is that the Government has basically said ‘it’s safe now, it’s fine, you’re not going to die’. We need to support new norms around safety at the festivals.”

2021-08-30 07:32:27
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

10) Dr Zubaida Haque, a member of Independent Sage, added: “The thing about mass gatherings is that people are right to think outside is safer than inside, but it’s the travelling back and forth to the mass gatherings that’s one of the main issues.

2021-08-30 07:32:27
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

11) If that mass gathering is for several days, like a music festival, then there’s also going to be a lot more contact between people, which give the virus more opportunity to spread.”

2021-08-30 07:32:27
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

12) Has this sort of mass superspread we thing happened before? Yes, recently after Eurocup soccer matches where young people gathered. twitter.com/drericding/sta…

2021-08-30 07:39:08
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

BREAKING—Nearly 2,000 #COVID19 cases in Scotland now linked to attendees of #Euro2020⚽️ events—#DeltaVariant. 2/3rds of cases had travelled to London for Scotland vs England. 90% male. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 now has **all-time record high Covid** plus ⬆️hospitalizations. 🧵 bbc.com/news/uk-scotla… pic.twitter.com/yuqLPa57WM

2021-06-30 23:10:13
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

13) Music festivals are incredibly dangerous it’s seems. Netherlands epidemics after music festivals show even higher infection rates. twitter.com/drericding/sta…

2021-08-30 07:40:22
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

~1000 infected out of 20,000-person music festival in the Netherlands. Maybe this type of thing is bad idea during a pandemic while #DeltaVariant ⬆️? NL also had the sharpest #COVID19 spike in the world last week. Now I worry for soccer ⚽️ even more. 🧵 ad.nl/utrecht/bijna-… pic.twitter.com/dOOt5xpSqk

2021-07-14 20:24:13

13) 音楽祭は信じられないほど危険なようです。音楽祭後のオランダの流行は、さらに高い感染率を示しています。

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

14) the @WHO has even specifically warned about sporting events and mass gatherings, even if seemingly outdoors. It’s the side gatherings and after hour events most dangerous. twitter.com/drericding/sta…

2021-08-30 07:41:42
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

Big sporting events are risky, not necessarily because of the outdoors stadium 🏟 game itself, but #COVID19 risky because of mass gatherings of fans outside of the stadium, especially indoors in the pubs & with fan after-parties. Remember #COVIDisAirborne. pic.twitter.com/mAPBHQD6uQ

2021-07-13 05:19:58
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

15) But @BorisJohnson says it’s acceptable if 1000 people die from #COVID19 every week. Don’t expect UK 🇬🇧 govt action anymore - they have abdicated all responsible governance and public health pandemic mitigation. twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/s…

2021-08-30 13:08:02
Yaneer Bar-Yam @yaneerbaryam@forall.social @yaneerbaryam

UK prime minister Boris Johnson this week has been reported to say it’s OK if 1000 people die from COVID every week. No action will be taken to prevent it. 1/

2021-08-29 00:09:35

15)しかし、@ BorisJohnsonは、毎週1000人が#COVID19で死亡しても問題ないと述べています。英国の🇬🇧政府の行動はもう期待しないでください。彼らはすべての責任あるガバナンスと公衆衛生のパンデミック緩和を放棄しました。

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

16) I know it’s a busy day with two new troubling variants, but in addition to the UK Cornwall music #festivalvariant subtype of Delta, I think the new #C12 variant is worse. It is the MOST MUTATED variant found to date—see below 👇 thread twitter.com/drericding/sta…

2021-08-30 14:06:12
Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

🦠NEW VARIANT—a new #SARSCoV2 variant C.1.2 just identified in South Africa & several countries, with concerns it could be more infectious and evade vaccines. #C12 also has mutation rate that is nearly **twice as fast** as the rate of the other variants.🧵 jpost.com/health-science… pic.twitter.com/a432jYiexE

2021-08-30 13:35:57

16)2つの新しい厄介な変異株に忙殺されていますが、Deltaの派生型である英国のコーンウォールのmusic#festivalvariantに加えて、私は新しい#C12変異株の方が悪いと思います。 これは、これまでに見つかった最も変異の多いバリアントです。以下を参照してください👇スレッド

Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing

17) Even the #DeltaVariant appears to continually acquire new mutations. There are now a dozen or more Delta subtypes. But the newest one from Cornwall’s music festival appears to be one of the largest new subtype pockets. pic.twitter.com/K9ic81IFNp

2021-08-30 16:21:13
拡大
拡大
拡大

17)#DeltaVariantでさえ、継続的に新しい突然変異を獲得しているようです。現在、12以上のDeltaサブタイプがあります。しかし、コーンウォールの音楽祭の最新のものは、最大の新しいサブタイプポケットの1つであるように見えます。