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KCin_Tokorozawa
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マクガイヤー@次回ニコ生3/13(日)
@AngusMacgyer
なんかもう「屁で空中ウクライナ」とか気軽に言えない世の中になってきちゃったな。平和じゃないと言えない言葉だった。
2022-02-23 23:31:37 凡そ用兵の法は、馳車千駟・革車千乗・帯甲十万、千里にして糧を饋［おく］るときは、則ち内外の費・賓客の用・膠漆の材・車甲の奉、日に千金を費やして、然る後に十万の師挙がる。
其の戦いを用［おこ］なうや久しければ則ち兵を鈍［つか］らせ鋭を挫く。城を攻むれば則ち力屈［つ］き、久しく師を暴［さら］さば則ち国用足らず。
--------------------------------孫子の兵法：作戦篇より
◆総記
消印所沢
@KCin_Tokorozawa
だよもん@V2ypPq9SqYさんのソ連の攻撃的兵站作戦 (2010.11.22) togetter.com/li/71368 #Togetter
2022-03-26 20:30:06
占展望（せんてんぼう）
@Khritenzama
ロシア軍相手の防戦で戦車や歩兵戦闘車を消耗しているウクライナ軍が攻勢に転じるにはそれら車両の供給が不可欠でそれが無ければ無理だと考えており、ウクライナ軍の反攻が始った当初は事態を理解出来ずにいたがよく考えたらウクライナ軍は補給受けているのな ロ シ ア 軍 か ら 補 給 し て た わ
2022-03-25 18:30:18
MASA👾🤍
@masa_0083
ロシアの弱点は「道路輸送」だった！ 特異な物流構造からウクライナ侵攻を考える | Merkmal merkmal-biz.jp/post/7608
2022-03-22 06:32:12
永井宏樹 Hiroki NAGAI
@hirohiro37
ロシアのSAMシステムが軒並み綺麗な状態で鹵獲か、一方的に破壊されている。対空レーダーや捕捉レーダーなど高出力の装備は、軒並み燃料不足でパワーダウンしたのだろうなと思う。 燃料を湯水のごとく消費するSAMは補給が無ければ動かない。 兵站の稚拙さを示す証拠とも言えるだろうね。 pic.twitter.com/QjgdWW5pGJ
2022-03-02 22:46:50
拡大
拡大
拡大
D-3@臨時安保クラスタ
@DaichiNotGaea
露軍の兵站についての英セント・アンドリューズ大教授の分析。ソ連のアフガン侵攻のロジのレポートの指摘事項がまんま当てはまりそう。想定される露軍の実力の半分も発揮されていないという推定には驚きも納得もある。 twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrie…
2022-03-07 08:31:35
U.S.S.BlackPrince
@HMS_BlackPrince
ロシア軍がついにTOYOTAのテクニカル使い始めてるの、そういえばシベリアで民間から徴発した車両を東に鉄道輸送してたなぁ、と思い出すんだけど、結局シリアの戦訓がそこに着地するんかい。というのがすごい。
2022-03-28 23:27:40◆セルフ捕虜収容所と化したロシア軍車列 (2022.3.5)
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
Lady's and Gentlemen, boys & girls, it is time saddle up for another installment of the "Mud and Truck Maintenance in Ukraine" feed. And this one will be a doozy, because we are talking about Russian truck refueling in the 64km column north of Kyiv. 🧵 1/ pic.twitter.com/akTbOuo4tI
2022-03-05 08:49:53
拡大
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
I am going to expand on this earlier tweet on the satellite photo montage. The Rasputitsa, bad tire maintenance, vehicle overcrowding, and lack of fuel have isolated most of this Russian Army column from its rear. 2/ twitter.com/TrentTelenko/s…
2022-03-05 08:49:54
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
No matter what kind of fuel conservation techniques they engaged in. The 1st 17km or so of that 64 km Russian Army column is out of fuel. They planned a 3-day operation which is in its 8th day. And given the temperatures and radio use, those vehicles have dead batteries. 3/ pic.twitter.com/OHsDQpENDJ
2022-03-05 08:49:56
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
This is why that Russian 41st CAA general was killed. He showed up at the head of the column to unscrew the logistical mess, screaming at people and waving his arms in the air in visual range of a Ukrainian Army Sniper. 4/ twitter.com/TrentTelenko/s… pic.twitter.com/NPyDF77KqR
2022-03-05 08:49:58
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
As for why the Ukrainians haven't rolled up those Russian troops in a 'motti' yet. They were busy. The Russian Hostomel airbase occupation force had to be annihilated to keep fuel from being airlifted in by helicopter. 5/ twitter.com/TomRtweets/sta…
2022-03-05 08:49:59
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
The head of this 64km column ain't going anywhere. With or without fuel. The Russians can get neither fuel trucks nor wreckers there. And this "drop dead effect" is proceeding along the column from south to north. The ONLY way that column will move at all is backwards first 6/ pic.twitter.com/GPwgEIyNws
2022-03-05 08:50:01
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
This is assuming it moves at all before the Ukrainians destroy it. The front and middle of the column showed up with food, fuel & ammo for 3-days, & we are 8-days into the war. The column is packed so tight that you can only refuel about 100-200 meters of column at a time 7/
2022-03-05 08:50:01
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
via a--holes & elbow by jerry cans. Then carefully back out those refueled trucks in order to get to the next 100 meters with the refueling truck and jerry cans. It would take a week a month from now, when the ground dries, to unf--k this mess. 8/ pic.twitter.com/yLDuGRYFVj
2022-03-05 08:50:04
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
The Russian Army will not be able to move trucks off road before then. 9/ twitter.com/TrentTelenko/s… pic.twitter.com/tbd2WEMtYk
2022-03-05 08:50:06
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
Nor in a lot of cases will the Russian Army tanks in that column be able to move off road. twitter.com/UAWeapons/stat… 10/
2022-03-05 08:50:07
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
The Russians have formed the world's longest POW camp. And the Ukrainians don't have to feed it. There simply hasn't been anything like this in warfare since the Anglo-American Anzio beachhead in 1944. 11/ pic.twitter.com/PslIQ30KNx
2022-03-05 08:50:08
拡大
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
The Russian troops in the 40-50 km of the traffic jam closest to Kyiv will run out of food before the jam can be cleared to them. They'll have to abandon their vehicles and walk north just to get food. 12/ pic.twitter.com/M5HPZtIQyq
2022-03-05 08:50:10
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
The reason the Russian column got to be so long was due to Russian Army officers “fulfilling the plan”. They might be shot by the chain of command for disobeying orders to advance into the traffic jam, but won’t be if they obey orders to fulfill the plan. 13/ pic.twitter.com/lMBArnzvWk
2022-03-05 08:50:13
Trent Telenko
@TrentTelenko
I'm not saying Ukraine will win or even that Ukraine can prevent Kyiv from being encircled. I am saying the Russian Army troops in the first 50 kilometers of that 64 km column will have nothing to do with it. 14/End
2022-03-05 08:50:13