モスクワ沈没･･･ OSINT UK ツイートまとめ

OSINT UK @jon96179496

The Kremlin says that the Moskva cruiser has been fully evacuated as the result of a “fire” on board. “The causes of the fire are being established,” - Russian Defense Ministry This comes after Ukraine says they hit the ship with Neptune missiles

OSINT UK @jon96179496

A fire likely was caused by the Neptune missiles. We also have visual confirmation of rescue boats being called to rescue the 500 people onboard pic.twitter.com/hrPgeDZAz9

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OSINT UK @jon96179496

Russian confirmation: twitter.com/rianru/status/…

РИА Новости @rianru

На ракетном крейсере "Москва" в результате пожара сдетонировал боезапас ria.ru/20220414/kreys… pic.twitter.com/LMZNd6RUW5

2022-04-14 08:03:35

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Full quote from Russian MoD “The Moscva was seriously damaged, the crew was completely evacuated. Ammunition exploded. The cause of the fire is under investigation”. Russian rescue ships & radio transmissions don’t seem to support the crew being fully evacuated. Seems like spin.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Here’s the SOS in Morse code they issued approximately at 1:05am local time: twitter.com/Trumenko/statu…

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Russian claim of an ammo explosion leaves out the prospect of 2 Neptune strikes, which would cause fires & secondary explosions. Abandoning a ship is an extreme measure & usually only happens when damage control measures are unavailable so only option is abandoning a vital ship

OSINT UK @jon96179496

One thing that makes this attack impressive is that if Neptune missiles are confirmed to be used in the attack, they were manufactured in Ukraine & were only available to the forces in the last 2 weeks. So in less than 2 weeks they managed to hit the flagship Russian cruiser.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Officially Activated in the first week of April kyivpost.com/ukraine-politi…

OSINT UK @jon96179496

While unconfirmed at this stage, sources indicate: There were multiple explosions heard on Moskva & a fire followed. Power was lost immediately. Some evacuations were done but were hampered due to bad weather (27km/h winds & 2 meter waves). The Moskva capsized on the port side.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

A flagship cruiser like the Moskva by all accounts should’ve been able to defend itself against 2 Neptunes. It reportedly has OSA-M & S-300F missiles, along with AK-630 CIWS. The fact that these measures don’t seem to have worked illustrate far larger problems for Russian forces.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

According to additional reports, Ukraine flew a TB2 UCAV towards the Moskva cruiser to distract the ship while it was targeted by the 2 Neptune strikes between Odessa & Nikolaev. The ship after being struck rolled onto its side. pic.twitter.com/ABBB0YbGlR

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OSINT UK @jon96179496

Due to the blockade of ships entering the Bosporus by Turkey (Montreux Convention). Russia can’t replace any losses of ships from Black Sea Fleet with other Russian Navy vessels. Losses and the Moskva flagship in particular will be especially damaging for their naval capabilities

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Russia still has naval capabilities available but further erosion of them could change the dimension of the war, as it would open up areas for Ukraine to take advantage & enable more airpower to be exerted over Black Sea. Also it could enable Ukraine to reopen ports & resupply.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Ukrainian forces seemingly had a very well planned strategy to destroy the Moskva cruiser. They planned to distract the ship with a TB2 drone before shooting the Neptune missiles.They practiced this tactic earlier in the week with a smaller ship to see reaction & response times. twitter.com/StephenKolanko…

OSINT UK @jon96179496

Something to keep in mind moving forward is the potential range of anti-ship Neptune missiles, the 280km range can enable Ukraine to launch missiles even further out and Russian defensive capabilities are likely to be considerably weaker on many of the other naval vessels pic.twitter.com/C5ZmGY6FVm

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OSINT UK @jon96179496

One interesting historical tidbit is this would be the first sunk Russian Cruiser since 1941.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

The US today announced they will begin sharing intelligence on Russian units in Crimea which comes at a rather timely moment to seize the advantage twitter.com/wsj/status/151…

The Wall Street Journal @WSJ

The U.S. plans to expand the battlefield intelligence it's providing Ukraine's forces so they can attack Russian units in Donbas and Crimea, officials said on.wsj.com/3vcooTI

2022-04-14 11:15:05

OSINT UK @jon96179496

A number of Russian citizens are not responding well to the news about the sinking of the Moskva. pic.twitter.com/4nsMxnftCD

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OSINT UK @jon96179496

As others have pointed out, the loss of their flagship Cruiser Moskva is an extreme humiliation for many Russians and particularly for the Kremlin. Suffice it to say we should expect a brutal escalation from Russia shortly to counter the narrative and rectify their bruised egos.

OSINT UK @jon96179496

The Russian Ministry of Defense reports the Moskva was sunk while being towed. From other reports it seems 14 soldiers were saved by Russian forces and 54 by Turkey leaving a total of 68 accounted for with 442 Russians missing in the invasion of Ukraine pic.twitter.com/RQ5j8VxTdJ

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OSINT UK @jon96179496

US finally confirms Moskva was sunk as a result of the Ukrainian attack washingtonpost.com/national-secur…

Flashman @flashman_andy

@jon96179496 I doubt they got everyone off if the ammo went up.

Pietro 🇺🇸🇮🇹 @ConstantRebel55

@jon96179496 Holy shit, it's true! They actually did this! Just hitting the ship, even if it's not disabled, is a blow to Russia's military. And if it is disabled, sounds like this is a major strategic success for Ukraine.

Georgi Vasilev @Aleko21412

@ConstantRebel55 @jon96179496 they wont evacuate all the crew from just hitting it ... as the Ukrainians saying - Ruskii korab idi na h...

Volodymyr Viter @ViterVolodymyr

@jon96179496 The refusal to fully admit they were hit by Ukraine is delightful