Time記事「Study: Current Aid Promises Won’t Contain Liberia’s Ebola Outbreak」と論文 マキノさんのツイートまとめ(2014.10.26)
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time.com/3537563/ebola-… Liberia does not have the resources it needs to end the Ebola outbreak any time soon.
2014-10-26 21:01:26引用 :Their data show that without significantly scaled up efforts, there will be 170,996 cases of Ebola and 90,122 deaths
2014-10-26 21:01:33引用 :related to the virus in Montserrado County by Dec. 15.
2014-10-26 21:01:35引用 :As of Oct 5, 2014, we estimated that 7260 EVD cases (95% CI 5132 — 11 560) and 2941 deaths (4070 — 6140) had occurred,
2014-10-26 21:01:41引用 :of which we predicted 1975 (1390 — 3100) and 1315 (959 — 1984), respectively, would be reported.
2014-10-26 21:01:43引用 : While the window of opportunity for timely control of the Ebola outbreak has passed,
2014-10-26 21:25:37引用 :the risk of catastrophic devastation both in West Africa and beyond has only just begun,
2014-10-26 21:25:39原理的には対応は、新規に発生した感染者が他の人を感染させる前に隔離する、というだけのことだが、現在リベリアではこれはできてないしできる見込みもない、ということであろう。
2014-10-26 21:42:55@parallellafan こんな感じのようです www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/2014… 効果があるとよいのですが。
2014-10-26 22:20:07