温暖化の危機の現状について19年8月

Martin Hedberg @MartinHedberg@mastodon.se @MartinHedberg

Faced with the overwhelming problems of rapid #ClimateChange and #extinction of species we only have three options: two practical and one miraculous.

Martin Hedberg @MartinHedberg@mastodon.se @MartinHedberg

The first practical option would be to get down in our knees and start praying 200 years of science was wrong.

Martin Hedberg @MartinHedberg@mastodon.se @MartinHedberg

The second practical option would be to pray for an enlightened species from a distant galax to arrive to earth and solve our problems.

Martin Hedberg @MartinHedberg@mastodon.se @MartinHedberg

The third option, the miraculous one, would be for world leaders to accept science, set aside special interests, stop extracting fossil carbon, stop regarding nature as "a resource" and start talking and working togeather to find ways to support a living and resilient nature.

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

This thread gives you the best moments of a presentation held by climate scientist Professor Will Steffen, held in Australia in June 2018. You should really watch this as he finds exceptionally clear words to describe the urgency of our situation. #ClimateCrisis [THREAD 1/13] pic.twitter.com/z3Vlhu1Xht

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Professor Will Steffen explains the concept of carbon budgets, its limitations and how much time we have left. He also talks about probabilities and why we can’t have a 75% chance anymore to hit the Paris 2°C. We have simply blown the available budget already. [THREAD 2/13] pic.twitter.com/jrPsJLOa3w

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

In this part of his presentation Professor Will Steffen points at the risks in food production that we are going to face at 2°C warming. #ClimateChange will act as a multiplier for other threats. "When people are starving, they either move or they fight. Or both." [THREAD 3/13] pic.twitter.com/tj3fRFXNbE

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Will Steffen: "I ask people how much colder was the last ice age. The common answer I get is about 20°C. Well the difference between now and the depth of an ice age is 4°C. So talking about going up by 4°C, we're talking about an unrecognisable state of the earth." THREAD [4/13] pic.twitter.com/toQquxZdh4

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

In this part Professor Will Steffen is showing the climate of the Holocene and zooming in on the last 2000 years and the rates of change. "This is just far too fast for natural ecosystems to cope with." [THREAD 5/13] pic.twitter.com/unWvDOBTWU

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

This is important. Professor Will Steffen: "Unfortunately this is the way 99.9% of the time scientists present projections for the future. You got to do it another way… There aren’t many scientists who think we will actually meet the 1.5°C target." [THREAD 6/13] pic.twitter.com/TAurrj8WW8

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Professor Will Steffen explains that there will be no in between state. "In other words, if we miss the 2°C target we might not be able to get to 3°C because of tipping points in the system. If we blow that target there is no guarantee we are able to control it." [THREAD 7/13] pic.twitter.com/tz3VW7xuCh

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Professor Will Steffen explains the concept of tipping points and focuses on the Amazon and permafrost. "There is a tipping point around 2°C where we will loose most of the Amazon rainforest. If we loose the permafrost there is no way are going to stop at 3°C." [THREAD 8/13] pic.twitter.com/SvejBtud79

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Professor Will Steffen explains about the tipping points of Greenland and Antarctica. He also introduces the concept of tipping cascades. "Tipping points are not going to act in isolation. Once we hit 2°C we hit a global tipping point that humanity cannot control." [THREAD 9/13] pic.twitter.com/wQhvIEdF4o

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Tipping cascades are not part of the climate models yet. Professor Will Steffen about irreversibility: "Can we go back? No! You break the climate system, you own it." Business as usual could bring us to 7°C by 2300. Climate will not recover for thousands of years. [THREAD 10/13] pic.twitter.com/kEHxYsmaxP

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Prof. Will Steffen explains reductions pathways. "Next realistic chance to peak global emissions is 2020. Then we can still hit the 2°C but we got to get out of carbon by 2040. But if we delay to 2025: Impossible! You’d have to totally decarbonise in one decade." [THREAD 11/13] pic.twitter.com/oeWScwA2RX

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Prof. Will Steffen explains what a 4°C world is like. "Changing rainfall patterns will make agricultural areas unproductive. A lot of scientists say about 1 billion may be able to live in a 4°C world. This is not going to be a gentle, planned population decline." [THREAD 12/13] pic.twitter.com/EtXLkD2ylF

Michael Flammer #KlimaVor8 @Jumpsteady

Please feel free to pick out videos you like and retweet separately with a comment. This way we have a better chance of reaching out into other bubbles. I can also recommend to watch the whole presentation. It takes about one hour: youtu.be/OzQsjuzr3_M [THREAD 13/13]