中東情勢まとめ(2020/1/9分 池内恵)

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ian bremmer @ianbremmer

Here's a look at militias and proxies in the Middle East that are now broadly aligned with Iran. gzeromedia.com/the-graphic-tr…

2020-01-08 23:54:27
Ranj Alaaldin @RanjAlaaldin

Important not to dismiss tonight’s still ongoing developments as just an Iranian face saving reaction. Iran’s response to Soleimani’s death has *begun* - the real retaliatory attack may materialise later, unless there’s a turn of events that takes us toward de-escalation.

2020-01-08 11:08:50
Eamon Javers @EamonJavers

White House officials tell me President Trump has been in the situation room this morning with Vice President Pence, Secretary Pompeo and Secretary Esper, among others. It’s possible those same officials will join him in the Grand Foyer during the president’s 11 am remarks.

2020-01-08 23:33:23
Ranj Alaaldin @RanjAlaaldin

Read this excellent piece by @MaloneySuzanne to understand how Iran launches carefully calibrated counterattacks. brookings.edu/blog/order-fro… pic.twitter.com/Rloq00N91A

2020-01-08 11:19:03
拡大
Michael Young @BeirutCalling

The Arab world has become a playing field for peripheral non-Arab states, reflecting a new regional "politics of axes," but growing domestic discontent with this foul situation may lead to change. Mine for @TheNationalUAE: thenational.ae/opinion/commen…

2020-01-08 18:18:08
Joyce Karam @Joyce_Karam

UPDATE: US- #Iran • Iran Informed #Iraq prior to attack! • Total 15 🚀, 2 bases • NO US/Iraq Casualties • Khamenei: Not enough • Flights restrictions for Gulf, Iraq • Slovenia, Croatia leaving Iraq • UK FM coming to Washington • Trump 📞 Qatar thenational.ae/world/mena/us-…

2020-01-08 22:59:02
Geoff Brumfiel @gbrumfiel

BREAKING: Satellite imagery from @planetlabs and shared via @MIIS show extent of Damage from Iranian missile strike. Appears to be a precision strike of structures holding equipment. npr.org/2020/01/08/794… pic.twitter.com/719eEkAqry

2020-01-09 00:31:08
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Ariane Tabatabai @ArianeTabatabai

This is in line with what the IRGC's commander of ops said last night: They hit Al Asad because they saw it as a "weapons depot" and they wanted to damage it to prevent future US action from there. twitter.com/gbrumfiel/stat…

2020-01-09 01:07:55
Dan Williams @DanWilliams

Israel says it has achieved a technological breakthrough for weaponizing lasers against aerial threats including mortars and drones, which will undergo field testing this year. It's been in the pipeline for a while: reuters.com/article/us-arm…

2020-01-09 01:07:56
The New Arab @The_NewArab

- Iranian foreign minister says retaliation for Soleimani’s death is 'concluded' following attack on US air base "We do not seek escalation or war, but will defend ourselves against any aggression." ow.ly/qF0A50xQeNk

2020-01-09 01:07:48
NPR @NPR

NEW: Satellite photos shared with NPR show the damage from the Iranian missile strike at Ain al-Assad Air Base. An analyst says the buildings hit "seem to be used for storing aircraft" and "maybe they intended to strike sites with equipment over people." trib.al/icVjoHM

2020-01-09 00:46:50
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson

(QUESTIONS) If there *are* more attacks, via proxies or otherwise, how does Trump react? Will he establish a backchannel to Iran so direct contact can occur in a moment of sudden escalation? Is Trump listening to his advisers, and does he have *enough* who are experienced enough?

2020-01-09 01:01:15
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson

(QUESTIONS2) Does Trump foolishly draw red lines today that will invariably be crossed by Iranian proxies at a minimum? Does Trump clearly open an avenue for long-term negotiations, using Iran pulling out of the nuclear deal as a starting point? Does he repeat any war crime talk?

2020-01-09 01:05:48
Abas Aslani @AbasAslani

Footage of preparing and firing Iranian missiles at #AinAlAssad base in #Iraq. #Iran pic.twitter.com/JRHoDlLA0M

2020-01-09 02:43:31
Ragıp Soylu @ragipsoylu

NEW — A missile attack targeting the Green Zone in Baghdad, and sirens heard near the US Embassy — Al Arabiya and Al Jazeera

2020-01-09 05:56:47
Shibley Telhami @ShibleyTelhami

Putin Moves to Heighten Russia’s Role After Suleimani Killing, leaping at a chance to further undermine U.S. credibility in the Middle East. foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/08/put…

2020-01-09 06:10:22
Kazuto Suzuki @KS_1013

ポンペオ国務長官、国務省職員にMEKを含むイラン反体制派と許可なく接触しないよう通達を出したとのこと。MEKはジュリアーニやボルトンに食い込んでいる組織だが、ポンペオはイラン政府との関係を悪化させないような措置をとるよう指示しているということか。これは興味深い。 twitter.com/nwadhams/statu…

2020-01-09 02:38:42
Nick Wadhams @nwadhams

Scooplet: @secpompeo sent a cable to all U.S. missions today ordering diplomats not to meet with Iranian opposition groups without permission. Says doing so could jeopardize diplomacy with Iran's government 1/3

2020-01-08 02:07:13
Prof. Michael Tanchum @michaeltanchum

SL Ayatollah Khamenei is signalling two agendas: 1) Immediate revenge for Soleimani's killing 2) Longer-term goal to supplant US in the Arab world - Expect IRGC-allied militias to step-up asymmetric warfare against U.S. military targets twitter.com/PatrickOsgood/…

2020-01-09 05:37:03
Kazuto Suzuki @KS_1013

ポンペオが「seeking a comprehensive deal with the Iranian regime」という電報を出しているって、フェイクニュースと言われても驚かないが、多分本当なんだろうな…。

2020-01-09 02:40:01
Prof. Michael Tanchum @michaeltanchum

Putin-Erdoğan Ceasefire in Libya puts UAE and Egypt in a dilemma Accepting the ceasefire allows Turkey to deepen its position in Libya, entrenching Ankara's power. Turkey & Russia will become main managers of the conflict Will MBZ and Sisi 'go it alone' to keep Haftar going? pic.twitter.com/trxPMiiUVW

2020-01-09 00:15:09
拡大
Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 @chutoislam

スキャンダルがなければこういうのが日本の指導層で出世していたかと思うと… twitter.com/yuyawatase/sta…

2020-01-09 07:42:14
Satoshi Ikeuchi 池内恵 @chutoislam

情報分析にも意思決定にも役に立たない、権力にいっちょ噛みたいだけの「エリート」っているよね。こういうのをどれだけ意思決定プロセスから排除できるかが日本の課題(「大学囲っといてよ」とかいうのなし)

2020-01-09 12:11:20
The Associated Press @AP

BREAKING: A top Pentagon general says an early warning system prevented loss of life when Iran fired missiles at two Iraqi bases housing U.S. troops. apne.ws/00hRtNO

2020-01-09 07:32:41
Kazuto Suzuki @KS_1013

トランプの記者会見、質疑応答なしで終わった。要点は ・米軍にもイラク人にも犠牲者は出なかった ・イランは対立から降りたようだ ・最大のテロリストであるソレイマニを殺害した(それで平和になるとは言わなかった) ・イランの態度が変わるまで制裁は続ける ・NATOは中東にもっと関心を持て

2020-01-09 01:43:43
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