欧州においてもロックダウンは効果かなかった（個人的メモ）

Ivor Cummins @FatEmperor

@DWarnicki @MLevitt_NP2013 R number curves show no real impact from lockdown - Sweden same R number curve as UK with lockdown - lockdowns introduced show no real impact of R curve across countless countries Social distancing self-administered if anything gave benefits

Ivor Cummins @FatEmperor

@OlaRosling @DWarnicki @MLevitt_NP2013 pic.twitter.com/jeeKO834zf

拡大

Mr. Serious! @U_R_2_Serious

@FatEmperor @OlaRosling @DWarnicki @MLevitt_NP2013 Same thing in germany. Lockdown came on 03/23 while R fell below 1 on 03/21, two days before lockdown. on 03/09 big events were cancelled and on 03/16 schools closed down. Source: Robert Koch Institute pic.twitter.com/lkDY5tiBJu

拡大

Neil D @NeilTheDevGuy

@spencer68 @FatEmperor @OlaRosling @DWarnicki @MLevitt_NP2013 I guess the logical conclusion here is that Covid was unaffected by these measures because it was not spreading widely in the general population, but was nosocomial.

Michael Levitt @MLevitt_NP2013

Although I am not going to be a productive Twitter user for another few days, I could not pass on this plot. This is remarkable evidence that also makes so much sense. twitter.com/fatemperor/sta…

𝑯𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒌𝒊𝒉 @hidekih

ドイツでとロッダウン開始二日前にはRが1を割っていたと。ロックダウン、自粛に意味はないと。 / “Why so Serious? on Twitter: "@FatEmperor @OlaRosling @DWarnicki @MLevitt_NP2013 Same thing in germany. Lockdown came on 03/23 while R fell below… …” htn.to/2NUcGUovAx

𝑯𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒌𝒊𝒉 @hidekih

数多くの国でR曲線がロックダウンが新型コロナウイルスについて意味がなかったことを示していると。 / “Ivor Cummins on Twitter: "@DWarnicki @MLevitt_NP2013 R number curves show no real impact from lockdown - Sweden same R number curve as UK wit… …” htn.to/UsLwY9uSon

𝑯𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒌𝒊𝒉 @hidekih

英国の上気道、下気道疾患、インフル、covid19の過去長期に渡る人口百万人当たり感染を取るといかにcovid19に対してはロックダウンが効果がないか分かる。他の疾患は50%ダウンしたがcovid19は蔓延したと。 / “Ivor Cummins on Twitter: "@OlaRosling @DWarnicki …” htn.to/VYNuQZb2NN

𝑯𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒌𝒊𝒉 @hidekih

ロックダウンがcovid19感染に影響しなかった論理的説明は院内感染、媒介が殆どで一般家庭内には存在してなかったからだと。うまく意味が取れていないが院内感染なければ英国での流行はなかったと。 / “Neil D on Twitter: "@spencer68 @FatEmperor @OlaRosling @DWarnicki …” htn.to/41Wuv5ZTXg

𝑯𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒌𝒊𝒉 @hidekih

レヴィット教授が論文執筆をやめてまでご指摘。 / “Michael Levitt on Twitter: "Although I am not going to be a productive Twitter user for another few days, I could not pass on this plot. This… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…"” htn.to/29hn4CWEah