Kamil Galeev氏の予言 戦後ロシアのシナリオその2･･･帝国の再始動

Kamil Galeev @kamilkazani

We don't need a Good Tsar who'll replace a Bad Tsar. Good Tsar can become a Bad Tsar overnight. He can give whatever guarantees now, but nothing will stop him from breaking them later. Even if he doesn't break them, his successor will. There will be no checks on his power anyway pic.twitter.com/ODvnB7s9Px

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Kamil Galeev @kamilkazani

Omnis determinatio est negatio. Whatever determined by a statute, can and will be abolished by a statute. Whatever Moscow gave it can take back later. Whatever it created, it can later destroy. Thus freedom can't be given by Moscow. Even the best Tsar ever can't grant you freedom pic.twitter.com/xrAPhwcPgd

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Kamil Galeev @kamilkazani

Russia doesn't need an Imperial Reboot. It needs a National Divorce. Moscow has absolute right on self determination, but I don't see why colonies should bound to its will, fund its imperial ambitions and shed their blood for the Russian World as they're doing it now pic.twitter.com/g4JysF1liX

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Kamil Galeev @kamilkazani

While discussing the prospect of National Divorce, analysts overconcentrate on ethnic tensions. And yet, tensions go far beyond the ethnic dimension. The problem of Locals vs Varyangs which is parallel to Creoles vs Peninsulares problem in Spanish America is at least as important pic.twitter.com/6dsccBpY45

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Kamil Galeev @kamilkazani

National Divorce in Russia will largely follow the same patterns as the one in Latin America. The weakest link in Russian imperial structure is neither Tatarstan, Yakutia, nor Chechnya. It's the Far East. End of🧵 pic.twitter.com/e3ZjtfCbyU

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